EPIDEMIOLOGY AND UNMET NEED

In 2025 there were 42,240 new cases of liver cancer* and 30,090 deaths in the US.5

HCC will have a growing impact globally over the next several decades, with the number of new liver cancer cases projected to increase from 0.87 million in 2022 to 1.52 million by 2050.6

HCC’s Global Impact

PRESENTATION AND ETIOLOGY

  Early HCC Liver-confined
unresectable HCC
Advanced HCC
  Early HCC Liver-confined unresectable HCC Advanced HCC
Clinical
presentation
Typically few, or no symptoms7 More prominent symptoms which may include abdominal discomfort, fatigue, and loss of appetite7 Severe and disease-specific symptoms, which may include gastrointestinal symptoms related to liver dysfunction and cachexia7
Diagnosis 30% of patients are diagnosed with very early or early HCC8 20% of patients are diagnosed at this stage8 50% of patients are diagnosed with advanced HCC (including 10% at end stage)8
5-year relative survival rates, 2015–20219* Localized: 37.6% Localized: 37.6% Regional: 13.2% Distant: 3.5%

Early HCC

Early HCC

Clinical presentation

Typically few, or no symptoms7

Diagnosis

30% of patients are diagnosed with very early or early HCC8

5-year relative survival rates, 2015–20219*

Localized: 37.6%

Liver-confined
unresectable HCC

Liver-confined
unresectable HCC

Clinical presentation

More prominent symptoms which may include abdominal discomfort, fatigue, and loss of appetite7

Diagnosis

20% of patients are diagnosed at this stage8

5-year relative survival rates, 2015–20219*

Localized: 37.6%

Advanced HCC

Advanced HCC

Clinical presentation

Severe and disease-specific symptoms, which may include gastrointestinal symptoms related to liver dysfunction and cachexia7

Diagnosis

50% of patients are diagnosed with advanced HCC (including 10% at end stage)8

5-year relative survival rates, 2015–20219*

Regional: 13.2% Distant: 3.5%

*Liver and intrahepatic bile duct cancer.5,9

In Western countries (Spain, Italy, United States, Latin America).8

The etiology of HCC in the US is shifting; while the main risk factors have traditionally been hepatitis B and C infection, non-viral causes such as MASLD and alcohol-related liver disease are becoming more frequent.1,10

The etiology of HCC in the US is shifting; while the main risk factors have traditionally been hepatitis B and C infection, non-viral causes such as metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and alcohol-related liver disease are becoming more frequent.1,10

UNMET NEED

Despite advances in understanding and treatment for HCC, significant unmet needs remain:11

Despite advances in understanding and treatment of HCC, significant unmet needs remain11:

Diagnosis at an Advanced Stage Icon

Diagnosis at an advanced stage is common, when curative treatments such as resection or transplantation are no longer viable12

Balancing Preservation of Liver Function Icon

Balancing preservation of liver function with reducing tumor burden through treatment can be challenging1,13

Disparities in Healthcare Access Icon

Disparities in healthcare access, including inconsistent availability of MDT care, further complicate management11,14

Addressing these gaps is essential for helping to improve outcomes and ensuring equitable care for all patients with HCC.11

Addressing these gaps is essential for improving outcomes and ensuring equitable care for all patients with HCC.11

SCREENING AND SURVEILLANCE

The AASLD guidelines recommend surveillance in at-risk populations, including those with chronic hepatitis B infection or cirrhosis from any etiology.15

The American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AASLD) guidelines recommend surveillance in at-risk populations, including those with chronic hepatitis B infection or cirrhosis from any etiology.15

The guideline-recommended surveillance method is abdominal ultrasound combined with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) testing; however, the sensitivity of this for detecting early HCC is only 63%,15 highlighting the need for advancements in surveillance techniques.

The guideline-recommended surveillance method is abdominal ultrasound combined with AFP testing; however, the sensitivity of this for detecting early HCC is only 63%,15 highlighting the need for advancements in surveillance techniques.

There are also implementation challenges in the US:

Awarness Icon

Low awareness of available screening guidelines and lack of a comprehensive screening program16

Imaging Icon

Low patient adherence to regular imaging, which can be influenced by factors such as scheduling and financial constraints, access to facilities, socioeconomic status, stigma, and patient perception of screening16

High Risk Icon

Lack of hepatologist involvement in high-risk patient care, leading to surveillance gaps16,17

There is an urgent need to identify and validate reliable, non-invasive biomarkers for more effective screening, such as ctDNA, which may have the potential to detect tumor-specific genetic and epigenetic alterations in the bloodstream.18

There is an urgent need to identify and validate reliable, non-invasive biomarkers for more effective screening, such as circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA), which has potential to detect tumor-specific genetic and epigenetic alterations in the bloodstream.18

Diagnosis and Staging of HCC Icon

Diagnosis and staging of HCC relies on accurate assessment of a wide range of factors.

Let HORIZONS HCC be your compass in navigating the complexities and latest developments in HCC patient care.

Abbreviations:

AASLD=American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases; AFP=alpha-fetoprotein; ctDNA=circulating tumor DNA; HCC=hepatocellular carcinoma; MASLD=metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease; MDT=multidisciplinary team; US=United States.

References:

1. Llovet JM, Kelley RM, Villanueva A, et al. Nat Rev Dis Primers. 2021;7(1):6; 2. GLOBOCAN. Updated February 08, 2024. Accessed October 31, 2025. https://gco.iarc.who.int/media/globocan/factsheets/populations/840-united-states-of-america-fact-sheet.pdf; 3. Safri F, Nguyen R, Zerehpooshnesfchi S, George J, Qiao L. Cancer Gene Ther. 2024;31(8):1105–1112; 4. Pinter M, Trauner M, Peck-Radosavljevic M, Sieghart W. ESMO Open. 2016;1(2):e000042; 5. National Cancer Institute SEER Program. Accessed October 31, 2025. https://seer.cancer.gov/statfacts/html/livibd.html; 6. Chan SL, Sun HC, Xu Y, et al. Lancet. 2025;406(10504):731–778; 7. Pathomjaruwat T, Matchim Y, Armer JM. Int J Nurs Sci. 2023;11(1):66–75; 8. Kudo M. Liver Cancer. 2018;7(2):134–147; 9. National Cancer Institute SEER Program. Accessed October 31, 2025. https://seer.cancer.gov/statistics-network/explorer/application.html?
site=35&data_type=4&graph_type=5&compareBy=stage&chk_stage_104=104&chk_stage_105=105&chk_stage_106=106&series=9&sex=1&race=1&age_range=1&advopt_precision=1&advopt_show_ci=on&advopt_show_count=on&hdn_view=1&advopt_show_apc=on&advopt_display=2#resultsRegion1
; 10. Rich NE. Surg Oncol Clin N Am. 2024;33(1):1–12; 11. Kronenfeld JP, Goel N. J Hepatocell Carcinoma. 2021;8:1209–1219; 12. Moris D, Martinino A, Schiltz S, et al. CA Cancer J Clin. 2025:1–15; 13. Forner A, Reig M, Bruix J. Lancet. 2018;391(10127):1301–1314; 14. Naugler WE, Alsina AE, Frenette CT, Rossaro L, Sellers MT. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2015;13(5):827–835; 15. Singal AG, Llovet JM, Yarchoan M, et al. Hepatology. 2023;78(6):1922–1965; 16. Del Poggio P, Mazzoleni M, Lazzaroni S, D'Alessio A. World J Gastroenterol. 2021;27(37):6180–6190; 17. Simmons OL, Feng Y, Parikh ND, Singal AG. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2019;17(4):766–773; 18. Schlosser S, Tümen D, Volz B, et al. Front Oncol. 2022;12:1016952.